The low-key Ursid meteor shower is active each year around December 17 to 26, with a peak around the December solstice. At its peak, in a dark sky, this shower offers perhaps five to 10 meteors per hour during the predawn hours. But it’s been known to have good years, with 100 meteors per hour seen, and that’s why people watch for it. This year, in 2019, the waning crescent moon in the early morning sky shouldn’t too greatly obtrude as this shower comes to a peak on December 22 or 23.
Will you see any Ursids this year? Your best bet is to watch in the mornings leading up to the shower’s peak, in the predawn hours.
And – if you decide to watch it – you might enjoy this bit of Ursid history. Some meteor showers, such as the Perseids in August, have been watched each year at the same time for many centuries. The Ursid shower is new. It was first observed around the turn of the 20th century, when a skywatcher noticed that some meteors seen around this time of year weren’t random in their direction of motion across our sky’s dome, but instead appeared to radiate from near the star Kochab in the bowl of the Little Dipper asterism.
As the years of the 20th century passed, careful observers noticed some the Ursid outbursts. Although the Ursid meteor shower has been observed for only a single century – and although rates are typically around 5-10 meteors per hour – the Ursids have gained popularity in recent years because of these possible outbursts. Bursts of about 100 meteors per hour happened in 1945 and 1986. An unexpected increase of 30 per hour came in 1973.
So, once again, meteor-watching is like fishing! You never know what you’re going to get, but you hope you catch a big one!
All meteors in annual showers have radiant points on our sky’s dome, and the showers take their names from the constellations in which the radiant points lie. The Little Dipper asterism is in the constellation Ursa Minor the Lesser Bear. Hence, the Ursid meteor shower.
Ursa Minor is the constellation that contains the North Star, or Pole Star, called Polaris. From that alone, you know it’s a far-northern constellation. For this reason, the Ursids aren’t easily visible to observers in the Southern Hemisphere; their radiant point is just too far north.
If you want to try watching the Ursids in 2019, find a country location where you can camp out. Dress warmly! And plan to spend several hours reclining under a dark sky free of artificial lights, sometime during the night of December 21 (morning of December 22).
At very northerly latitudes – say, latitudes like that of the northern U.S. and Europe – the radiant of the shower is out all night. Should you try observing on the evening of December 21, or the evening of December 22? Up to you. Just know that the radiant point of the Ursid shower rises upward throughout the night, and reaches its highest point for the night just before dawn.
By the way, meteors in annual showers nearly all stem from comets (the Geminids being a bizarre exception). Beginning around the 1970s, astronomers found evidence that the Ursids move in the same orbit as Comet 8P/Tuttle, which is now believed to be the meteors’ source.
Bottom line: We anticipate the Ursid meteor shower will peak in 2019 on the morning of December 22 or 23, with perhaps a little disturbance from the waning crescent moon.
Bruce McClure has served as lead writer for EarthSky's popular Tonight pages since 2004. He's a sundial aficionado, whose love for the heavens has taken him to Lake Titicaca in Bolivia and sailing in the North Atlantic, where he earned his celestial navigation certificate through the School of Ocean Sailing and Navigation. He also writes and hosts public astronomy programs and planetarium programs in and around his home in upstate New York.