Earthsky

Private: Scientists try to spot fires before they start

04-15-2007 - Uncategorized

For several years now, it’s been possible to use satellite technology to pinpoint the progress of wildfires.

More recently, it’s become possible to see when conditions are right for a fire to start. Dar Roberts is a geographer at the University of California at Santa Barbara. He said the technique involves using satellite data to see moisture levels in plants.

Dar Roberts: _We can say what the water status of the plants might be. We also know that the canopy themselves might have what we call a fuel condition that is readily burnable, meaning the number of live leaves is low, the amount of dead materials in the crown is high and then a final factor that we could use is knowing how much of the fuel is actually present._

Still, Roberts hesitates to say that scientists can actually predict where a wildfire will start.

Dar Roberts: _When you look through all the data and say, oh well, these areas had these conditions that looked really bad and in fact that was a really bad year for fires. So you can actually predict sort of the general behavior of a fire season pretty accurately, what you can’t do is actually predict a specific start of a wildfire because what you need for a fire to start is an ignition._

Wildfires burned 9 million acres in 2006, and a comparable number – 8.7 million acres – the year before.

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Written by EarthSky

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