Comments on: Is it possible to predict earthquakes? http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes A Clear Voice for Science Fri, 10 Feb 2012 00:15:28 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: sam http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-608228 sam Wed, 02 Nov 2011 10:44:39 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-608228 why researchers are not close to pridicing when big earthquakes will happen ??? why researchers are not close to pridicing when big earthquakes will happen ???

]]> By: Bob Davis http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-552100 Bob Davis Mon, 04 Apr 2011 21:15:11 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-552100 Perhaps earthquakes can be predicted by monitoring magnetic fields along fault lines? Perhaps earthquakes can be predicted by monitoring magnetic fields along fault lines?

]]> By: Deborah Byrd http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-546769 Deborah Byrd Sat, 19 Mar 2011 12:46:28 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-546769 Good point Festus. Good point Festus.

]]> By: Festus http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-546626 Festus Sat, 19 Mar 2011 00:16:06 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-546626 Just a note. Anyone can predict an earthquake. It doesn't mean that an earthquake is going to occur because of that person's prediction. You could put some factors together, but the percentage of accuracy is going to be low. You could search history, and try and find certain paterns, but just as in "horse racing," you could hit streaks at times, but then go cold. For example, when earthquakes occur, animals are sometimes said to act "strange." If a person comes to the conclusion that an earthquake is going to occur, because an animal "acts strange," then that person would probably be predicting an earthquake two or three times a month. The new example is the dead sea life. When the earthquake hit in New Zealand this year, dead whales were found on the shores a few days before the earthquake. If someone puts those two things together, they would find out that in 2011, there has been a number of incidents in different countries where dead sea life has washed ashore...but did earthquakes occur right after? Just a note. Anyone can predict an earthquake. It doesn’t mean that an earthquake is going to occur because of that person’s prediction. You could put some factors together, but the percentage of accuracy is going to be low. You could search history, and try and find certain paterns, but just as in “horse racing,” you could hit streaks at times, but then go cold. For example, when earthquakes occur, animals are sometimes said to act “strange.” If a person comes to the conclusion that an earthquake is going to occur, because an animal “acts strange,” then that person would probably be predicting an earthquake two or three times a month. The new example is the dead sea life. When the earthquake hit in New Zealand this year, dead whales were found on the shores a few days before the earthquake. If someone puts those two things together, they would find out that in 2011, there has been a number of incidents in different countries where dead sea life has washed ashore…but did earthquakes occur right after?

]]> By: Deborah Byrd http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-545443 Deborah Byrd Tue, 15 Mar 2011 16:53:50 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-545443 Angela, it can be predicted that Earth's crust will move around. It has been moving around for billions of years. The exact amount by which it'll move in the future cannot be predicted. All the best, Deborah Angela, it can be predicted that Earth’s crust will move around. It has been moving around for billions of years.

The exact amount by which it’ll move in the future cannot be predicted.

All the best,

Deborah

]]> By: angela http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-545441 angela Tue, 15 Mar 2011 16:50:20 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-545441 what is going to happen since the earths axis has been shifted and japan has sunk and that we shifted 13 feet??? can this be predicted what is going to happen since the earths axis has been shifted and japan has sunk and that we shifted 13 feet??? can this be predicted

]]> By: David http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-543928 David Fri, 11 Mar 2011 23:24:34 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-543928 Geo is explaining there are some unexplored areas in geophysics and a lack of understanding of all the important factors involved in a phenomena witnessed as an earthquake. Some are tiny tremors, some are mighty temblors. In every area of science there have those who have gone ahead and experimented with findings often ridiculed by the establishment. More important that predicting earthquakes would be preventing them. This will be part of astrophysics once it is understand the Solar cycle is involved in planetary mechanics. Work in in 19th century, on cyclones, volcanic eruptions, earthquakes and other phenomena are consequential to certain bands of earth currents, constantly passing between the poles, and on opposited sides of the globe, the bands moving from East to West on a regular phasic basis. Normally, the power generated finds no resistance and dissipates. But when irregular formations and constructs occur, they become susceptible to pent up energies which eventually must be released by dint of force which can even move tectonic plates. At some future time man will find out how to dissipate the buildup of such enormous energy without disastrous plate movements. Before then, new measuring means might make it possible to predict earthquakes, and where, with a high degree of reliability. Geo is explaining there are some unexplored areas in geophysics and a lack
of understanding of all the important factors involved in a phenomena witnessed
as an earthquake. Some are tiny tremors, some are mighty temblors. In every area of science there have those who have gone ahead and experimented with findings often ridiculed by the establishment. More important that predicting earthquakes would be preventing them. This will be part of astrophysics once it is understand the Solar cycle is involved in planetary mechanics. Work in in 19th century, on cyclones, volcanic eruptions,
earthquakes and other phenomena are consequential to certain bands of earth currents, constantly passing between the poles, and on opposited sides of the globe, the bands moving from East to West on a regular phasic basis. Normally, the power generated finds no resistance and dissipates. But when irregular formations and constructs occur, they become susceptible to pent up energies which eventually must be released by dint of force which can even move tectonic plates. At some future time man will find out how to dissipate the buildup of such enormous energy without disastrous plate movements.
Before then, new measuring means might make it possible to predict earthquakes, and where, with a high degree of reliability.

]]> By: Geo http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-46928 Geo Thu, 01 Jul 2010 06:03:10 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-46928 "Nobody is claiming that scientists (and others) are not trying to predict earthquakes. That goal has been the holy grail of earthquake scholarship for hundreds of years" Sorry but this is factually incorrect. The USGS for years specifically said it couldn't be done and said they weren't trying - until others stepped in. As of the now the USGS is merely debating whether or not it is even beneficially to predict them - if you can believe that. They also said all earthquakes were random and distant fault couldn't trigger other faults - all since proved false. " the fact is that earthquakes cannot be predicted, if by \”prediction\” we mean specifying a location and a reasonably narrow (i.e., not in hundreds of years) time window." you are stating an opinion as fact which is incorrect. infact earthquakes have been predicted within very short tiem windows and locations. Northridge was predicted by ultra long wave radio anomalies and faxed to the news the day before. Not one of a million faxes but one fax the day before. Italy was predicted by ground radon excretion in a city. there are more an more methods being discovered. In croatia they predict via a sudden mis correlation between the three magnet field orinetation readings. The Demeter satellite has recently detected night time ion increases over earthquake epicenters before they happen within the next two weeks. Infrared detection of fault heating has also been used to detect specific faults under increasing stress that break within the month or even week. You need to educate yourself before flatly stating your opinions as facts. I suggest you start at www.electricquakes.org which does a good job of keeping up with and explaining the latest techniques and papers as well as posting live data sources to study. If you refuse to believe it is possible and therefore refuse to study it then you have no right to represent yourself online as a scientist with expertise in the matter. "Many scientific groups provide \”projections\” and \”earthquake probabilities\” for particular regions over time, but those are not the same as \”predictions\” as the term is generally understood." No one is talking about those groups. “Nobody is claiming that scientists (and others) are not trying to predict earthquakes. That goal has been the holy grail of earthquake scholarship for hundreds of years”

Sorry but this is factually incorrect. The USGS for years specifically said it couldn’t be done and said they weren’t trying – until others stepped in. As of the now the USGS is merely debating whether or not it is even beneficially to predict them – if you can believe that. They also said all earthquakes were random and distant fault couldn’t trigger other faults – all since proved false.

” the fact is that earthquakes cannot be predicted, if by \”prediction\” we mean specifying a location and a reasonably narrow (i.e., not in hundreds of years) time window.”

you are stating an opinion as fact which is incorrect.
infact earthquakes have been predicted within very short tiem windows and locations.
Northridge was predicted by ultra long wave radio anomalies and faxed to the news the day before. Not one of a million faxes but one fax the day before.

Italy was predicted by ground radon excretion in a city.

there are more an more methods being discovered.

In croatia they predict via a sudden mis correlation between the three magnet field orinetation readings.

The Demeter satellite has recently detected night time ion increases over earthquake epicenters before they happen within the next two weeks.
Infrared detection of fault heating has also been used to detect specific faults under increasing stress that break within the month or even week.

You need to educate yourself before flatly stating your opinions as facts. I suggest you start at http://www.electricquakes.org which does a good job of keeping up with and explaining the latest techniques and papers as well as posting live data sources to study.

If you refuse to believe it is possible and therefore refuse to study it then you have no right to represent yourself online as a scientist with expertise in the matter.

“Many scientific groups provide \”projections\” and \”earthquake probabilities\” for particular regions over time, but those are not the same as \”predictions\” as the term is generally understood.”

No one is talking about those groups.

]]> By: Boyko Iliev http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-45622 Boyko Iliev Tue, 29 Jun 2010 11:07:23 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-45622 http://earthquake-prediction.hit.bg This time is true. The KING of the earthquakes. http://earthquake-prediction.hit.bg
This time is true.
The KING of the earthquakes.

]]> By: bill http://earthsky.org/earth/is-it-possible-to-predict-earthquakes/comment-page-1#comment-21131 bill Wed, 14 Apr 2010 08:39:06 +0000 http://earthsky.org/?p=32448#comment-21131 please shut up, u cannot predict an earthquake. Nobody can ever predict when the plates will shift. It's always going to be at random times. please shut up, u cannot predict an earthquake. Nobody can ever predict when the plates will shift. It’s always going to be at random times.

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